Jul 20 2008

Debunking The Derby

Published by George under MLB

The second half of the baseball season is underway, and memories of All-Star Weekend are still quasi-fresh in our minds. The game itself was great, but vastly overshadowing it was the Home Run Derby and more notably, the show that Josh Hamilton put on. Hamilton belted a record 28 homers in one round - although he lost in the finals to Justin Morneau, it was still probably the greatest display ever at the event.

In recent years, balls have been jumping out of the park quicker and more frequently than ever, with hitters adjusting their swings and solely focusing on the long ball to try and one-up each other and give the fans something to remember. Bobby Abreu hit a whopping 41 total homers when he won in 2005, but then had a horrible 2nd half of the season.

The theory now goes that altering one’s swing for the Derby is a death blow to 2nd half hopes. Apparently you just get in the mindset of hitting homers and forget about the gaping hole in the infield through which you can safely bounce one through to get to 1st.

I’ve decided to look back to Derbies since 2000 (since this is when our juiced up boys really upped the homer pace - unlike years past when beanpoles like Ryne Sandberg could win it with 3 jacks) to see whether or not big-time home run hitters really do adversely affect themselves by putting on a show and winning the Derby.

Here come the numbers:

2000 - Sammy Sosa, 26 total homers

Coming into the Derby, Sosa was hitting .305 with 23 HR and 74 RBI. After the break, he hit .338 with 27 HR and 64 RBI. Slammin’ Sammy’s a beast - this type of thing wasn’t gonna affect him.

2001 - Luis Gonzalez, 16 total homers

Ahh yes - the year Gonzo went gonzo and hit 35 first half homers along with a .335 avg and 86 RBI. Ridiculous. No mortal could sustain such a pace, so I don’t think the Derby would be to blame for his “drop off” to a mere .290-22-66 in the second half.

2002 - Jason Giambi, 24 total homers

From .318-22-71 to .309-19-51 in 17 less games. Stashe is a meathead who hurls his entire roided being towards the stands on every pitch. He had nothing to change for the Derby.

2003 - Garret Anderson, 22 total homers

The onset of injuries in the 2nd half caused a substantial drop in stats. Is it due to a Derby-related malady? Nah - dude just got old.

2004 - Miguel Tejada, 27 total homers

Here is where it starts to get interesting. Yes, Tejada always put up numbers, but few thought of him as an over-the-top slugger who could just mash. You would think that out of anyone, it would be a guy like this who would fade in the second half after a big performance. However, Tejada had nearly identical numbers in the second half, from .311-15-75 to .311-19-75 - creepy.

2005 - Bobby Abreu, 41 total homers

And here we are. Yikes. Abreu went from a formidable .304-15-58 first half to a mere .268-9-44 in the second. Same amount of games played, with a few more at-bats in the second half. It definitely got to Abreu, and he’s been somewhat sapped of power ever since.

2006 - Ryan Howard, 23 total homers

To me, Howard’s performance was the best I’ve ever seen (no offense, Josh). A walk-off blast that finds the “Hit It Here” sign? Amazing. Oh yeah - stats. Howard turned it up in the second half, going from .278-28-71 to .355-30-78. He’s a power hitter tried and true. He didn’t need to change a thing.

2007 - Vladimir Guerrero, 17 total homers

Vladdy’s run production dipped a bit in the second half due to some missed games, but otherwise he was on par, even hitting more homers after the break than he did before. He swings at anything anyways, so its not like he was operating outside of his comfort zone during the Derby.

Conclusion

There is no Home Run Derby curse. Bobby Abreu just sucks. Let’s move on now and start talking up the Madden curse in anticipation of next month’s release. Brett Favre is on the cover. Weird.

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May 03 2008

Doing It For The Kids

Published by George under MLB

Speaking of kids, I just ate a cupcake for breakfast. I might even have a second one after I’m done typing this. Kids however, probably can’t eat cupcakes for breakfast. They have parents. Parents that care about their dietary habits. Being 23, parents only care about you graduating and getting a job. Real person stuff.

Sorry if those previous sentences were terse and surprising. I just finished reading Kenny Mayne’s new book. It was good read. Now it is a good coaster.

Anywho, more Miguel Tejada news for the masses. Apparently he did something non-scandalous this time around. Hell, it was valiant, even. Touched after visiting a young boy with muscular dystrophy at the hospital, Tejada promised - and delivered - a homerun for the kid in his next game (Tejada’s next game, not the kid’s - he can’t play due to muscular dystrophy. Yes, prepare for more horrible things later in this post - Sorry ahead of time).

It was certainly a moving series of events, but this just got me thinking. What if the athlete fails to deliver on his promise? Does the kid lose the will to live? Could he be charged with murder? Does he have to at least go back to the hospital with lavish gifts to apologize? Imagine Tejada going back to the hospital to present the kid with an autographed copy of his Dominican birth certificate - citing newfound old age as the reason he couldn’t hit it out of the park.

And what about his teammates? Do they try and pick up the slack and hit some out themselves? Perhaps adding addendums to Tejada’s inital promises, saying in post-game conferences that they too were playing for the kid that night.

And how does the opposing pitcher respond to this? Can he be held responsible for the kid’s life as well? Does he face a moral dilemma between trying to get the out and trying to serve up a homerable (yes, that’s a word now) pitch?

I don’t know how I would be able to come through in such a situation. I would obviously have to promise something a bit more achievable. Perhaps the making of a sandwich and subsequently consuming it. Or drinking a bottle of wine. These things I could do.

Hey kid, this Cabernet’s for you.

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Apr 18 2008

LOLtsar: Tejada Revealed

Published by George under LOL, MLB

Miguel Tejada Houston Astros Baltimore Orioles birth certificate

Miguel Tejada iz teh old.

As per Dominican custom, Miggy shaved two years off his age when he signed on to play major league ball.

E:60 correspondent Tom Farrey presented Tejada with a copy of a birth certificate, filed by his father in his hometown of Bani, that showed he was born on May 25, 1974. The document was acquired by a Dominican law firm hired by ESPN after clerks at the town hall in Bani declared — improperly — that his records were confidential.

Oooops.

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